Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.231351 0.273604 0.318704 0.370146 0.426924 0.487414 0.556465
2024-10-27 0.177449 0.234826 0.300458 0.379974 0.472612 0.576098 0.699399
2024-11-03 0.140084 0.206671 0.287918 0.391720 0.518244 0.665046 0.845822
2024-11-10 0.111928 0.183987 0.277539 0.402975 0.562004 0.752487 0.993426
2024-11-17 0.084367 0.156427 0.256421 0.397248 0.582777 0.811775 1.108656
2024-11-24 0.066672 0.138909 0.245568 0.402459 0.616016 0.886227 1.243573
2024-12-01 0.050132 0.119277 0.228535 0.396676 0.633160 0.939700 1.352854
2024-12-08 0.035515 0.098882 0.206987 0.381585 0.635563 0.972847 1.435983
2024-12-15 0.028398 0.090164 0.202174 0.389819 0.669590 1.047616 1.573534
2024-12-22 0.020413 0.077038 0.187884 0.381848 0.679394 1.089381 1.668136
2024-12-29 0.017352 0.073899 0.190377 0.399936 0.727130 1.183368 1.833078
2025-01-05 0.012986 0.065820 0.182528 0.400318 0.748163 1.240559 1.949480
2025-01-12 0.009569 0.058863 0.176006 0.402726 0.772893 1.304469 2.077741
2025-01-19 0.007565 0.055204 0.175501 0.415180 0.813251 1.391216 2.238566
2025-01-26 0.006010 0.052198 0.175848 0.428922 0.855815 1.481768 2.405874
2025-02-02 0.004691 0.049221 0.175754 0.441674 0.897016 1.570994 2.572577
2025-02-09 0.002959 0.042617 0.166139 0.436056 0.908321 1.616747 2.679322
2025-02-16 0.002038 0.038976 0.162881 0.441895 0.938067 1.689764 2.824943
2025-02-23 0.001131 0.033561 0.153954 0.435909 0.947795 1.733019 2.928932
2025-03-02 0.000451 0.027185 0.140705 0.419923 0.939714 1.748989 2.993927
2025-03-09 0.000258 0.025266 0.139744 0.428769 0.973875 1.829044 3.151286
2025-03-16 0.000072 0.021153 0.130942 0.420304 0.977612 1.862556 3.241848
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.020995 0.134969 0.439619 1.030336 1.971944 3.443276